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Microsoft sinking its own ship January 23, 2006

Posted by rjdohnert in Software reviews.
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LXer has published an article on How Microsoft is sinking its own ship. very laughable but in my own way Im going to do to this guy what I do to Steven Nichols over at eWeek and sytematically tear down his thinking.

” Financial growth has slowed and its stock price remains flat “

Just because they havent moved in terms of sales doesnt mean a thing, one thing that Microsoft has that these other companies dont have is a steady source of income. They have OEM contracts, service contracts as well as other sources of income that Linux vendors and Google do not have.

” It missed the trends in Internet search and music download “

And where is the money in these markets. Google doesnt make money from search, they make money in advertising. Apple hasnt made a dime in its music downloads since it first opened its store. What keeps the Music store afloat is the sale of the iPod. Apple has said in its quarterly financial report that they make no money off of the iTunes music store.

” It’s still fighting anti-trust in Europe and Asia “

60 billion is a hell of a warchest, and its growing

” AOL instant messaging continues to dominates the IM landscape “
For consumer use yes, Yahoo is like #2 and MSN #3, Google Talk hasnt even made any kind of break-in. Too bad. What kills MSN is that they have no chat service unless you subscribe to MSN Internet Services, Yahoo and AOL you dont have to subscribe.

” Alternatives exist to Microsoft’s core business “

How great are these alternatives? There is only one alternative that can actually give Microsoft a run for its money, thats Apple and Mac OS. Most people who use Linux do so because they are under the illusion Linux is free and its an illusion thats finally going away

” The verb for searching on the Internet is Google “

Yeah and in Europe people say they will MSN you later, your point?

” Google beat and outbid Microsoft for a stake in America Online. Microsoft had hoped a stake in AOL would have boosted MSN. Microsoft has shown that it doesn’t fare well in running business ventures unrelated to its cash cows Microsoft Office and the Windows desktop.”
Google needed AOL to resign their contract, if not Google was toast. I wouldnt say Microsdt has a hard time running its buisness ventures. The X-Box 360 is doing rather well, Great Plains software is doing extremely well in growth from what I have seen and Windows Vista will probably win back a few hearts and heads. They also do well in terms of Visual Studios and their development platform.

” File-sharing software and Apple computer’s iTunes have redefined how the world obtains and listens to music and videos. Yahoo sits in the top position among Internet portals and the Mozilla Firefox browser has cracked the fortress of Internet Explorer.”

illegal downloads and lock-ins to Apples proprietary offerings that you have to have an iPod to listen to, or in my case, download em, Burn a CD rip em to MP3 and put them on my Carbon. When IE 7 is released I plan to switch and Im probably not the only one. Be prepped for that Firefox trend to go into reverse.

” On the desktop, Apple appears poised to grab market share for the first time in ten years. Microsoft has decided to target that market instead of the server side where fighting IBM has taken a toll, HP has changed partners and Sun appears poised to make another run with a joint Solaris and Linux strategy.”

Apple will pull in a couple of Marketshare points but ask yourself this question, how many of those brand new Macs will be dual booting with Windows, and how many seats of VirtualPC will Microsoft sell? Remember each deployment of VPC is a license for Microsoft Windows. Also, Microsoft last year outsold Linux servers. Sun has no joint Solaris/Linux strategy. If you want Linux you will get Linux, in Suns eyes if you want Windows you get Windows, but they primarily sell Solaris and focus on Solaris sales and its worked rather well for them

” Windows servers may have taken away the dominance of Novell, Banyan Vines and IBM LAN Server but Microsoft never made its way into mission critical applications. In places where Microsoft tried they failed miserably. In a relatively short time frame, Linux won the battle Microsoft started in the server arena. “

Is this guys high or something? Windows does extremely well in the Mission Critical Applications. I suggest you take a look at actual market data instead of tuning into the “Linux is god” forums.

” Microsoft made big promises to Independent Software Vendors back in the days when MS bundled the stripped down version of Windows and DOS with every PC. To get everyone writing applications for him, Mr. Gates promised to never cross the line between applications and operating systems. So, companies like Lotus, WordPerfect, Act, Intuit and others banked on Mr. Gates word. Microsoft then turned around and squashed their loyal ISVs. That won’t happen again.

With the eventual release of Vista, Microsoft will stress its current customers’ resources. Word on the street says that Visual Basic programmers haven’t made a successful transition to C# and the .Net framework appears like just another development model – not the development model. So, unless an enterprise needs Microsoft media player and a few other replaceable items, the Linux desktop has much appeal in the corporate environment. “

Were you there when Microsoft made these so called big promises? Microsoft did nothing different than those developers did to him. MultiPlan (Excel), was new at the time of DOS and Lotus and WordPerfect, Why did it Win? Because Microsoft actually went ahead and advanced and innovated on the platform. Lotus and WordPerfect wanted to stay DOS, they didnt even offer a Windows version until years after Microsoft Office won. Act wasnt being actively developed for years until Symantec bought the product. The ISV’s went to sleep and Microsoft woke em up. Once of Microsofts employees actually summed it up pretty nicely with this article I will say too, I run Apache and MySQL on Windows, works extremely well for me. When I needed IIS and Apache to cooperate so that I could render ASP.NET applications, Microsoft support was extremely helpful in helping me set that up. As for Microsofts .NET Framework not being a serious, development platform. Well there are only 2 development platforms, Java and .NET. Thats not a Microsoft quote, thats a Sun Microsystems quote. If .NET wasnt a real concern, why would IBM and others be trying to Topple .NET? If .NET wasnt a true concern, why would Novell be trying to make Mono as compatible as possible with .NET?

With Intel moving its R&D to Shanghai and HP in Beijing watch for more consumer oriented desktop products to become available for Linux. Afterall, if people use Linux as their desktop in Asia, South America, India, the Middle East, Africa and Europe, then ISV and hardware manufacturers would seem stupid if they only produced products for Windows. “

And with Oracle and HP moving their development stations off of Linux and onto Solaris 10, I think the Linux community better quit worrying about Microsoft and start worrying about what they need to do.

” Not too long ago, Microsoft tried to sell us on the argument that if you used their software on the desktop you should use their servers too. It actually made some sense or let’s say some people bought it. Then people bought NT and Windows 2000 and then Microsoft’s knowledge base expanded exponentially as did their their customers’ infrastructure problems. (That’s also the time Microsoft started marketing their expensive support offering, too.)

With Linux running mission critical applications and replacing Microsoft infrastructures, doesn’t it make sense to create seamless solutions and put Linux on the desktop?

It makes sense to put Linux on the desktop when the desktop no longer matters. As we move from PC centric infrastructures to an executable Internet. Linux begins to make more sense. So, the seamless solution works better today when proposed with standards based operating systems rather than with klugged directory services, etc. You could also argue that the leading technology deploys on Linux easily considering Apache runs 65-70% of all web sites.”

Yeah and with as many servers running Linux, many of those companies still use Windows for the desktops, also the Apache numbers dont count for all Linux deployments, many people think they do but they dont. Apache runs on many platforms, including Windows.

Personally and Im sure Im not the only one that feels this way, the internet is not the place for productivity apps. My documents are my business and I dont think security or bandwidth exists for me to truly be productive on the internet. I would trust a Thin client architecture or web based office suite as far as I can throw em.

Microsoft has no problems, unlike the Linux community which after reading this article makes me think 2 things.

First thought ” Thank God I dont use Linux enough to become a blind zealot”
Second thought ” These guys need to get their heads out of this alternate reality they live in.

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Comments»

1. Anonymous - January 23, 2006

Your post today is as amusing as it is informative. While I don’t agree with everything that was said in the article by Tom Adelstein, I will neither agree with your rebuttal.
I would just respond to one of your comments that caught my attention:
“Most people who use Linux do so because they are under the illusion Linux is free and its an illusion thats finally going away”
Neither I, nor anyone that I know, chose Linux because it was ‘free’. If Windows XP offered a decent command-line-interface, as well as a stable OS that never needed a reboot, I would never have even tried Linux. I would have gladly spent $100US+ for a decent Operating System.
I get the feeling that you are so removed from Linux (I quote your blog: “Thank God I dont use Linux”) that you have little understanding of its strengths and weaknesses. I hope that you will try to use a Linux distribution again before your next anti-Linux rant.
Even if you don’t — at least post a link to the article that you are responding to. In this case:

Linux not standing in wait as Microsoft sinks its own ship

Sincerely,
- Colin
cortisol at hotmai…

2. Roberto J. Dohnert - January 24, 2006

When I say I dont use Linux, I mean Im not an avid user of Linux. I have used the systems, I do have one Linux distribution installed (SuSE 10) so I can keep up with whats going on in the Linux universe, changes and what such. But Im not an avid, rabid Linux zealot nor do I waste my time cheerleading. I am well aware of the benefits of a UNIX based system, Im also aware of the benefits of a Windows system.

3. Mike Dimmick - January 24, 2006

You don’t have to subscribe to any MSN services to use MSN Messenger. You only need a Passport, which you can sign up for using any email address.


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